With the midterm general election six months away, a variety of polls indicate that a number of Democrats need to start packing their bags and sending out resumes. A week ago I wrote about the latest Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll that indicated troubles ahead for Democrats that are still riding on Barack Obama’s political coattails.
Now an even more popular poll that gets a lot of national attention is casting a shadow of doom on Democratic control in this year’s midterm elections. Pew Research’s latest findings are spelling more gloom and doom for Democrats.
When asked if they support or lean towards Republican or Democratic candidates in their area, 47% said they are leaning towards the GOP and 43% lean or favor the Democratic candidates. The significance of these figures can be seen when compared with the polls taken at this time in 2006 and 2010 midterm elections.
In 2006, 41% leaned toward the GOP and 51% leaned Democrat. That year, Democrats had a net gain of 6 Senate seats and 31 House seats.
In 2010, 44% leaned toward the GOP and 44% leaned Democrat. That year, Republicans had a net gain of 6 Senate seats and 63 House seats.
Based on those results, this year could see the Republicans take over control of the Senate and retain control of the House.